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Pairwise scale space comparison of time series with application to climate research

机译:时间序列的成对尺度空间比较及其在气候研究中的应用

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摘要

In this paper, we study how sea surface temperature variations in the North Atlantic and the Norwegian Sea are correlated with the climate in the Northern Hemisphere in late Holocene. The analysis is performed by testing statistical hypotheses through novel scale space methodologies. In late Holocene, the proposed techniques reveal that the climate development in the subpolar North Atlantic has been incoherent with the development in the Norwegian Sea and the Northern Hemisphere. A prominent discrepancy between the three analyzed series is identified for the periods associated with the Medieval Warm Period and the Little Ice Age. A divergence between the oceanic series and the global Northern Hemisphere temperature estimate detected in the twentieth century is in line with the inferred imprint of recent climate change which suggests accentuated warming, in particular over continental regions. Overall, the results obtained by scale space analysis underscore the significance of the northern North Atlantic in shaping the climate globally, mainly through changes in the strength and structure of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation.
机译:在本文中,我们研究了全新世晚期北大西洋和挪威海的海表温度变化与北半球的气候之间的关系。通过使用新颖的尺度空间方法测试统计假设来执行分析。在全新世晚期,提出的技术揭示了北大西洋次极地带的气候发展与挪威海和北半球的发展不协调。在与中世纪暖期和小冰期有关的时期中,确定了三个分析系列之间的显着差异。在二十世纪发现的海洋序列和全球北半球温度估计值之间存在差异,这与最近气候变化的推断结果相吻合,这表明气候变暖加剧,特别是在大陆区域。总体而言,通过尺度空间分析获得的结果强调了北大西洋北部在形成全球气候方面的重要性,主要是通过改变大西洋经向翻转环流的强度和结构来实现的。

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